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Comment week non-ferrous metals
Time:2009-4-27    The number of readers:9316 【Print
Copper: the early domestic copper (34970, -730.00, -2.04%) rebounded sharply this week, halted the trend, Zhou set out in the trend of copper under the influence of fluctuations in the main to a strong shock. Announced last Friday the United States consumer confidence index in April than in March and September 2008 to the highest level, has been boosting market confidence, In addition, the weaker dollar, and European stock markets combined with the day to maintain or continue to reduce inventories Copper & 5575 tons, a multi-driven, Copper & was 4824 U.S. dollars. Domestic market, the economy appeared to stabilize the bottom, the arrival of the peak season of consumption also demand the cash, but the National Bureau of Statistics and customs data, we can see, the domestic copper production and copper growth in both imports, especially imports of copper amazing, to which the market was relatively tight supply and begin to turn loose on the last Friday of copper inventory report period ended a six-week decline in the inventory situation, the volume of nearly 4000 tons. On the supply to the process of easing into consumer prices due to high pre-and inhibited by certain, so the domestic market worsened the situation of supply and demand fundamentals, market sentiment is obviously inadequate, but still maintain a good strong outer disk, the domestic price does not appear to significantly reduced, the domestic spot market Monday copper opened in the top of 43,000 yuan, 43,700 yuan for the highest bid / tons. After entering the week, the stock market decline in Europe and the United States and the U.S. dollar, the market started to worry about the banking industry recently announced better-than-expected performance in the sustainability of demand pressure and worries that have made the price of copper began to shrink dramatically, the price all the way down, the lowest reported Tuesday 4370 U.S. dollars. Although slightly weaker dollar Wednesday due to a rebound, but the market's weak economy and continuing worries about demand prospects, and expectations may be the end of the Chinese buying, the price rebounded limited. Outside the disk began to go soft on the supply of the domestic copper appeared relaxed against obvious, especially the soaring price of copper has been pre-overdraft of the original factors of the various benefit, price shocks weakness, the domestic spot market Tuesday at the lowest price 40140 yuan / ton, Since then a slight rebound in prices, but limited efforts. Judging from the current market conditions, domestic off-the-shelf environment is indeed the beginning of transformation, with the gradual exit of imports of copper, imports of copper in a substantial increase in supply, pre-spot pattern has been to ease tensions, having posed greater pressure on the price of copper. Outside the disk market, due to concerns about China's demand for the destruction of popularity, especially when the global economic recovery remains to be seen, the copper price factors in the weakening of speculation. However, since this week is still LME copper stocks fell sharply, as of Wednesday had dropped to a low of 450,100 tons for three months, since the end of February has been reduced by more than 20%. Copper & write-off of the current receipts ratio is still as high as 15% decline in the latter situation inventory also will continue, which will support prices. Taken together, along with the continuous influx of imports of copper, copper is increasing pressure on the domestic, market outlook will continue to impact domestic prices down to below 40,000 / tonne mark suspense no longer, but the decline needs to look outside the set trends.
      Aluminum: to increase the supply of aluminum to make this week is to continue the domestic weakness. Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics data show that in March of China's primary aluminum output 902,300 tons, higher than February's 894,000 tons. Customs data show that China's primary aluminum imports in March amounted to 86,000 tons, equivalent to the total imports in 2008 of more than 70 percent, up 1486.5 percent increase, the Central than the 579.5 percent increase. Both domestic and imported so that the supply of incremental pressure increases, resulting in downward pressure aluminum. However, due to the just-concludeddomestic aluminum stock has not a lot of pressure, and manufacturers have the capacity of certain funds, the current resilience in the domestic aluminum prices are under pressure, and therefore limited the recent decline in domestic aluminum prices. Aluminum in Shanghai this week, the price range is 13300-13500 yuan / ton between the price of aluminum in Guangdong Province is the range of 13490-13650 yuan / tons. Continuous adjustment of the recent non-ferrous metals, including aluminum municipal adjustment is relatively small, although the aluminum fundamentals than the city of copper, zinc, aluminum prices in the past few days but the trend is stronger than copper, zinc, mainly because of the early and not with the market speculation and the sharp rise in pressure and thus a relatively smaller callback. However, the flow of the pressure currently on the market with an increasing supply of imports and a sharp increase, and even more shaken the confidence of the consumer market, more wait-and-see. Therefore, the next week, will continue to impact the domestic aluminum prices down, but the decline will not be too great.

      Lead: Recent situation of the domestic market relatively weak fundamentals, lead the upward trend of prices is more dependent on the well outside the disk drive. However, the U.S. dollar this week, lead-lun and the rise of profit-taking pressure, failed to extend the strong early start sideways shocks. Therefore, the domestic market this week, continuing a callback # lead, which offer a range of Shanghai 12000-13000 yuan / tons, the Guangdong region offer a range of 11800-12900 yuan / ton. According to latest statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics data showed China's lead production in March increased by 46 percent from the previous month to a five-month high of 335,200 tons; and lead the current number of imports due to high ratio and constantly on the rise. At present the area as a major consumer of lead battery industry operating rate of the low, mostly around 50%. The supply of loose, weak demand in the domestic lead shortly after the city remains in the doldrums. Recent mixed economic data, concerns about the economic outlook is still larger callback U.S., subject to various kinds of external factors, commodity markets in general callback, Fallon lead strong it is hard for a short period. In addition the recent LME lead stock market continued to increase, which will lead the fight against the city of popularity. Next week, the domestic lead prices will continue callback pattern.

      Zinc: Although zinc consumption gradually pick up, and orders consumption is much higher than 1 quarter, but weak homotopy zinc as well as a substantial increase in the imports of zinc prices continued to fall this week. Although LME zinc stocks continued recent sharp decrease in the strength of the U.S. dollar this week has been to follow the copper zinc-lun weakness, reported Wednesday the lowest zinc-lun 1415 U.S. dollars. According to the National Bureau of Statistics latest figures show that in March, Central China's refined zinc production increased by 30% to more than 344,200 tons, and in October last year, the highest level since. The feedback from the market perspective, this year about 20 million tons of imports of zinc into the market, the role of domestic has basically been offset. Zinc is also the current domestic market, made of zinc and zinc have been massive imports, the market low-priced transactions are rare, put a climate of strong popular spot market contusion. Under pressure from both inside and outside the domestic zinc price (11,930, -305.00, -2.49%) remained low this week, 0 # zinc prices in the range 12100-14650 yuan / tons, 1 # zinc prices in the range 12050-13700 yuan / ton of Inter. Since March of domestic enterprises to import large quantities of complex zinc production and zinc will enable the city of the domestic pressure, in addition, with the rising price of zinc, zinc prices early in the doldrums due to the accumulation of zinc ingots will once again flow to the market, the impact on the formation of zinc prices. However, the downstream industry with zinc, such as automobiless and real estate, there is much uncertainty, so the domestic price of zinc should not be too optimistic market outlook.

      Tin: Although the metals markets this week深幅調整, but in the buying driven by the performance of eye-catching tin-lun, a strong market out of an independent, first-line price of 12,200 U.S. dollars in strong support. Tin ore from the domestic market price of raw materials continue to上抬, leading to continuous price increases of domestic manufacturers, and traders were active in response to hoard goods, the price of tin at the bottom of the city constantly上抬this week due to strong external disk, but also optimistic about the supply-side market outlook, price Hard Trading in a Dream. However, due to continuous rise in the downstream consumer caution after the performance, especially in the other metals have been adjusted down, the more wait-and-see. Therefore, 1 # tin or restricted, the price range of 98000-108500 Yuan / tons. This week's strong domestic tin price entirely from outside the disk drive, and this week continued to increase inventory Lun Tin, in addition to bias the overall market conditions, the sustainability of buying into the existence of doubt, in the event of a profit selling, there will be a substantial callback tin-lun . Domestic market, the current supply and demand serious differences between the two sides, the seller insist on such factors as a result of cost increases, and the wait-and-see deal with the buyer. Next week, the lack of fundamentals supporting the domestic tin price will be dropped.

      Nickel: The recent nickel price triggered by investor concern about rising prices, but due to the lack of fundamental support, under profit-taking investors, has shrunk significantly in nickel prices this week, though Jinchuan Corporation in recent four consecutive increase since the week Jinchuan ex-factory price of nickel, 92,000 yuan from 128,000 yuan upward, raising a total of as much as 36,000 yuan, but it failed to stop the domestic spot price of nickel fell quickly, but after nickel prices rose after the pre-region at the bottom of the price to increase. 1 this week, the domestic price of nickel # 121000-135000 from the Monday yuan / ton fell 98000-115000 weeks yuan / ton. Domestic nickel prices this week, significantly reduced the prices of a previous amendment, which will help the pick-up in consumption, especially in the current operating rate of domestic steel mills remain at a high state. Next week, domestic nickel prices will remain weak shock rebound when things look set to be the trend.
 
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